PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1c83544B34532464F529E08CF5D94575bA6Bb8DB-1767879861140

0x1c83544b34532464f529e08cf5d94575ba6bb8db

Realised P&L
$-77.95
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
269
Open portfolio
$11.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded269
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.3630.417$4.55+$0.59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4600.315$3.15−$1.45
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2600.110$1.14−$1.56
Will John Goodman win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0800.049$0.61−$0.39
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0890.047$0.53−$0.47
Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3000.140$0.52−$0.60
Will Fjord win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1000.051$0.51−$0.49
Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.4900.135$0.42−$1.09
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2600.021$0.22−$2.48
Will Fjord win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2700.042$0.15−$0.85
Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0600.002$0.07−$2.63
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$2.00
Will "Supergirl" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$4.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 10:57Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?BUY0.3669999516$1.00
10-29 10:57Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.46$4.60
10-26 10:15Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?BUY0.3619999814$2.96
10-05 16:32Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1729999946$1.00
10-05 16:32Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0205810277$0.78
10-03 12:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETSELL0.05$1.25
10-03 12:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.24$6.00
10-03 12:18Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSELL0.98$9.60
10-03 12:17Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.5099999776$5.00
10-03 12:14Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.0299999994$1.00
10-03 12:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSELL0.33$3.05
10-03 12:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.5399999568$5.00
09-09 05:07Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.2999999464$1.12
08-19 11:20Will Fjord win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
08-19 11:18Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.0889999114$1.00