0x1c83544B34532464F529E08CF5D94575bA6Bb8DB-1767879861140
0x1c83544b34532464f529e08cf5d94575ba6bb8db
- Realised P&L
- $-32.48
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 261
- Open portfolio
- $7.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded261
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.25at 0.193Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
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- +$13.24at 0.073Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
- +$10.91at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$8.89at 0.597Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 05:07 | Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2999999464 | $1.12 |
| 08-19 11:20 | Will Fjord win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 11:18 | Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0889999114 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 11:18 | Will John Goodman win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 09:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 08-12 09:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 16:33 | Will Fjord win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:42 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.1817185834 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:41 | Will "Pluribus" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:39 | Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:36 | Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4899999383 | $1.51 |
| 07-29 16:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $8.54 |
| 07-29 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $3.76 |
| 07-29 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |