0x1C7D7Dcf45d82050ADB2Ea79a8063538F41f1D42-1771250495342
0x1c7d7dcf45d82050adb2ea79a8063538f41f1d42
- Realised P&L
- $-124.03
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 825
- Open portfolio
- $13.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded825
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.86at 0.280Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?
- +$12.34at 0.227Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
- +$12.24at 0.290Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on February 27?
- +$11.73at 0.425Will Infosys (INFY) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$11.73at 0.243Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 19:20 | Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 06-09 19:14 | Will Zohran Mamdani stream on Twitch again by June 12? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.29 |
| 06-09 19:04 | Will Steve Jurvetson be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 06-09 18:59 | Will Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $700B? | BUY | 0.9039999904 | $4.51 |
| 06-09 18:54 | Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? | BUY | 0.2799999612 | $3.46 |
| 06-09 17:22 | Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 06-09 16:59 | Will Luke Nosek be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.85 |
| 06-09 16:47 | Will Bret Johnsen be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 06-09 16:35 | Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? | BUY | 0.6699999608 | $3.93 |
| 06-09 16:23 | SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 06-08 14:12 | Will Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $27.0B? | BUY | 0.3599998874 | $1.79 |
| 06-07 15:38 | Will Oracle 2026 capital expenditures be above $50B? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.99 |
| 06-06 20:29 | Will Trump say "Jerome" or "Powell" this week? | BUY | 0.4499999299 | $2.89 |
| 06-06 19:54 | Will Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $600B? | BUY | 0.8099999923 | $4.20 |
| 06-06 19:45 | Will Oracle Q4 Cloud revenue be above $10.25B? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |