rmpkid
0x1c6e60550dec0455f1e58d9d672d2ab0d6334391
- Realised P&L
- $213.85
- Volume
- $17.5k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.80at 0.721Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
- +$42.86at 0.780Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$41.97at 0.695Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$34.10at 0.199U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$30.97at 0.818Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 14:14 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 08-05 14:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 08-05 12:50 | Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.034 | $17.00 |
| 08-05 11:58 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | SELL | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 08-05 11:41 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $142.97 |
| 08-05 11:23 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.976 | $48.80 |
| 08-05 11:15 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $17.26 |
| 08-05 02:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 08-05 02:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.029 | $5.80 |
| 08-04 22:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3584461 | $35.84 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.075 | $1.13 |
| 08-04 21:15 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0723414135 | $4.24 |
| 08-04 21:10 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 08-04 17:40 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $16.60 |
| 08-04 17:38 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.41 | $12.99 |