0x1c5dcb5b240dcd91f6bd9882d8971f9de28e2340
- Realised P&L
- $-15.72
- Volume
- $162.94
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $3.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.085 | $2.55 | −$11.86 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.055 | $0.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.155 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.100 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.15at 0.260Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.09at 0.430Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.14at 0.070Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.15at 0.041Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.21at 0.140Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 00:06 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | BUY | 0.6799999425 | $2.84 |
| 05-16 00:05 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.79 |
| 05-16 00:05 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.58 |
| 05-16 00:04 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.86 |
| 05-16 00:04 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.85 |
| 05-08 05:11 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | BUY | 0.5399998702 | $1.83 |
| 05-07 04:11 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | BUY | 0.5699994984 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 04:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $1.09 |
| 05-07 04:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.15 |
| 04-27 03:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 03:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 03:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 03:17 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 03:16 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 03:16 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |