PolyBot

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Traders

excellent1337

0x1c5d31d04706ded66ca38b8c71f8b383f6de0cd6

Realised P&L
$-142.81
Volume
$65.9k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$16.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? · Yes0.4300.160$16.00−$27.00
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$6.09
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$3.00
Solana all time high before 2026? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$125.00
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00−$5.00
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$15.40
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assists · Yes0.0760.000$0.00−$8.36
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$11.10
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assists · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$7.70
No airdrop in 2025? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$5.76
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$9.35
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$14.40
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$14.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 14:29Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.43$43.00
09-15 11:20Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.18$10.62
08-26 18:22Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?BUY0.16$8.02
08-15 19:07UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.75$49.56
07-19 16:38Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsBUY0.076$8.36
07-19 16:38Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsBUY0.076$6.84
07-19 16:38Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsBUY0.087$6.09
07-19 16:37Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsBUY0.11$7.70
07-19 16:37Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsBUY0.17$8.50
07-15 11:57Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsBUY0.018$14.40
07-14 20:45Will France win on 2026-07-14?SELL0.0075$6.08
07-14 19:38Will France win on 2026-07-14?SELL0.185$18.50
07-14 19:24Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.205$20.50
07-12 02:55Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.7899999997$100.00
07-11 22:18Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.25$25.00