PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

imcultured

0x1c557495a1186c489bfd814203794a1d9ecb8ade

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$146.7k
Markets traded
312
Open portfolio
$244.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded312
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · No0.6590.785$164.17+$26.44
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2000.072$67.57$118.83
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.1600.255$4.33+$1.61
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6500.935$3.74+$1.14
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.4800.725$2.90+$0.98
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? · No0.7801.000$2.00+$0.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 02:55Weed rescheduled by December 31?SELL0.364$186.00
04-10 14:16Weed rescheduled by December 31?BUY0.659$474.48
04-09 09:365kt meteor strike in 2026?SELL0.56$221.20
04-09 09:345kt meteor strike in 2026?SELL0.56$66.64
03-31 01:44Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?SELL0.51$356.49
03-30 06:03Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?BUY0.69$482.31
03-25 17:10Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 29?SELL0.01$6.64
03-25 07:59Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 29?BUY0.73$484.72
03-24 06:06Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?SELL0.27$295.11
03-23 11:085kt meteor strike in 2026?BUY0.5$257.00
03-21 18:14Will Khamenei tweet again on March 23, 2026?SELL0.07$36.61
03-21 18:13Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?SELL0.31$229.40
03-20 17:44Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?BUY0.73$797.89
03-20 16:14Will Khamenei tweet again on March 23, 2026?BUY0.16$83.68
03-20 06:08Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.62$458.80