0x1c4f0cf3ea6cb020ab3cd360212087406361e955
0x1c4f0cf3ea6cb020ab3cd360212087406361e955
- Realised P&L
- $9.42
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $26.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? · Up | 0.400 | 0.525 | $26.25 | +$6.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? · Up | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 7? · Up | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.17at 0.077Ethereum Up or Down on September 28?
- +$31.11at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down on September 28?
- +$29.10at 0.193Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4PM ET
- +$22.63at 0.464Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$16.22at 0.823Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 21:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 21:50 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 21:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 12:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.9199999761 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 15:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 19:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.839999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3673477447 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 10:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 10:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 07:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | SELL | 0.84 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 12:18 | Solana Up or Down on September 28? | SELL | 0.0720625 | $11.53 |
| 09-28 12:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 28? | SELL | 0.0753423423 | $96.59 |