0x1c4E778337de76D0dDf95A0c9F2a24F678DFa1DF-1772127321197
0x1c4e778337de76d0ddf95a0c9f2a24f678dfa1df
- Realised P&L
- $-17.12
- Volume
- $314.07
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $35.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 19? · No | 0.550 | 0.475 | $9.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? · No | 0.550 | 0.470 | $9.40 | −$1.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 19? · No | 0.390 | 0.360 | $6.98 | −$0.58 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.310 | $6.20 | −$3.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19? · No | 0.380 | 0.380 | $3.06 | +$0.00 |
| Will Sofia Sewing advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.53at 0.590Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 17?
- +$4.76at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17?
- +$1.42at 0.876BitBoy convicted?
- +$-3.10at 0.620Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17?
- +$-10.00at 0.691Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 13:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5? | BUY | 0.69099998 | $10.00 |
| 03-05 11:19 | BitBoy convicted? | BUY | 0.8759342278 | $10.00 |