310
0x1c4910402874802b089c1d0b4ce1f3c583858262
- Realised P&L
- $-9.65
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $21.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.81at 0.044Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$32.03at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
- +$8.59at 0.823Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
- +$6.78at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
- +$6.12at 0.141Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 13:02 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8889999155 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 13:00 | UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 12:53 | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | BUY | 0.4811898513 | $11.00 |
| 05-24 20:40 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8539999889 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 20:39 | Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? | BUY | 0.2319722192 | $10.00 |
| 04-11 00:09 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.7899999242 | $5.00 |
| 04-11 00:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999962 | $1.00 |
| 04-10 14:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $4.97 |
| 04-10 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $0.98 |
| 04-10 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $4.86 |
| 04-10 14:20 | Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.9179999945 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 18:15 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 04-05 18:14 | Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 18:13 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 04-05 18:12 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.7699999638 | $10.00 |