0x1c47411ef573b157479339452a50c16d9d55c142
0x1c47411ef573b157479339452a50c16d9d55c142
- Realised P&L
- $-1.84
- Volume
- $45.87
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $6.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.415 | $3.40 | +$1.60 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.520 | 1.000 | $1.92 | +$0.92 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.475 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.66at 0.615Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?
- +$0.50at 0.677Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?
- +$0.46at 0.698Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?
- +$0.44at 0.708Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
- +$0.32at 0.769Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 03:43 | Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.80 |
| 09-29 03:32 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 23:16 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 23:09 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 23:08 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:11 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:08 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:05 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:05 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:22 | Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:22 | Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 18:06 | Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 18:05 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 06:10 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 06:09 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |