31d
0x1c429967937aa68fe7dd845d7f81a9c520970832
- Realised P&L
- $-864.32
- Volume
- $16.3k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $79.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.961 | 0.983 | $68.78 | +$1.50 |
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.987 | $7.95 | +$0.30 |
| Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.027 | $2.39 | −$8.01 |
| North Korea missile launch by November 15? · No | 0.825 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.79at 0.979Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$19.60at 0.820Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$16.32at 0.950Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?
- +$7.00at 0.800Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
- +$1.90at 0.960BNB all time high by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 16:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | SELL | 0.011 | $10.69 |
| 04-07 17:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY | 0.6691421715 | $634.27 |
| 02-17 03:24 | Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999997 | $734.60 |
| 02-17 03:23 | Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.117402 | $11.74 |
| 02-16 13:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | BUY | 0.9623408285 | $300.00 |
| 02-16 13:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | BUY | 0.9599999986 | $501.74 |
| 02-13 00:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | BUY | 0.1999859532 | $426.83 |
| 02-03 03:52 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $221.10 |
| 01-14 10:34 | Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.80 |
| 12-23 10:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.979 | $382.72 |
| 11-23 13:33 | BNB all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $365.25 |
| 11-23 13:32 | Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025? | SELL | 0.9781011714 | $342.34 |
| 11-23 13:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.964 | $10.83 |
| 11-23 13:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.949 | $3.37 |
| 11-17 08:54 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | SELL | 0.977 | $349.64 |