PolyBot

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Traders

31d

0x1c429967937aa68fe7dd845d7f81a9c520970832

Realised P&L
$-864.32
Volume
$16.3k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$79.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9610.983$68.78+$1.50
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.987$7.95+$0.30
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1170.027$2.39$8.01
North Korea missile launch by November 15? · No0.8250.000$0.00$98.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-28 16:50Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?SELL0.011$10.69
04-07 17:50Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?BUY0.6691421715$634.27
02-17 03:24Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9499999997$734.60
02-17 03:23Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.117402$11.74
02-16 13:39Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?BUY0.9623408285$300.00
02-16 13:37Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?BUY0.9599999986$501.74
02-13 00:50Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?BUY0.1999859532$426.83
02-03 03:52Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.82$221.10
01-14 10:34Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?SELL0.9$1.80
12-23 10:21Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.979$382.72
11-23 13:33BNB all time high by December 31?BUY0.96$365.25
11-23 13:32Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?SELL0.9781011714$342.34
11-23 13:32Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.964$10.83
11-23 13:32Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.949$3.37
11-17 08:54Xi Jinping out in 2025?SELL0.977$349.64