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Traders

0x1c3DC2273D64eBE2A99fA39dD8883130c8792FF5-1767525426111

0x1c3dc2273d64ebe2a99fa39dd8883130c8792ff5

Realised P&L
$4.0k
Volume
$360.9k
Markets traded
1,255
Open portfolio
$539.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,255
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027? · No0.6000.605$181.50+$1.50
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.1450.180$90.00+$17.50
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · No0.4500.670$44.59+$14.64
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · Yes0.0400.056$42.00+$11.75
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? · No0.3500.375$37.50+$2.50
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1600.115$34.50−$13.50
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.0250.079$31.60+$21.60
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.048$19.20−$0.80
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? · Yes0.1000.175$17.50+$7.50
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0700.085$17.00+$3.00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.0980.032$7.88−$16.62
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.010$7.50+$2.25
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.0900.036$5.40−$8.10
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3900.015$1.45−$37.55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2500.011$1.10−$23.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 20:29Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0105714286$0.74
10-29 17:55Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?SELL0.4655943825$126.98
10-29 17:54Viktor Orbán arrested by...?SELL0.8503139428$46.04
10-29 17:54Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?SELL0.993$244.44
10-29 17:54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.7636921429$534.58
10-27 20:33Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.5309426466$56.93
10-27 20:01Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3729999996$40.00
10-27 19:29Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.25$37.50
10-25 23:26Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?SELL0.06$6.00
10-25 22:07Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4499100153$50.00
10-25 21:26Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?BUY0.32$15.00
10-25 20:17Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.26$15.76
10-25 20:14Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3299999979$20.00
10-25 18:41Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5499999995$150.00
10-25 10:05Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?SELL0.45$76.09
Trader 0x1c3DC2273D64eBE2A99fA39dD8883130c8792FF5-1767525426111 · PolyBot Pro