PolyBot

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Traders

Cromanion

0x1c38cb4e483c79255e944d9e1a3c0d0aa08e919d

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$182.4k
Markets traded
293
Open portfolio
$455.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded293
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 15:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.1499999997$50.00
10-13 15:29Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.058$11.60
10-12 12:52US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?SELL0.93$46.50
10-12 12:39US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.94$47.00
09-29 14:47Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.7472463703$166.24
09-29 04:39Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.55$102.30
09-26 14:26Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.2394353846$15.56
09-22 23:16Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.32$100.00
09-21 13:19Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.1499999993$20.00
09-18 01:36Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.0820694148$20.00
09-15 14:19Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?BUY0.033$15.00
09-15 14:17Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 17?BUY0.011$5.00
09-11 12:39Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 11?SELL0.02$3.68
09-11 12:38Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 11?SELL0.004$3.80
09-10 13:28Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10?SELL0.2$2.62