Cromanion
0x1c38cb4e483c79255e944d9e1a3c0d0aa08e919d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $171.7k
- Markets traded
- 286
- Open portfolio
- $405.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded286
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$438.81at 0.196 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$258.20at 0.616US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$203.68at 0.330US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$108.38at 0.735Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$105.60at 0.312Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 14:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? | BUY | 0.033 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 14:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 17? | BUY | 0.011 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 12:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 11? | SELL | 0.02 | $3.68 |
| 09-11 12:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 11? | SELL | 0.004 | $3.80 |
| 09-10 13:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.62 |
| 09-10 13:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10? | SELL | 0.2066666667 | $24.80 |
| 09-10 13:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10? | SELL | 0.23 | $30.62 |
| 09-10 12:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10? | BUY | 0.036 | $4.20 |
| 09-10 12:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10? | BUY | 0.0477364944 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 22:09 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 9? | BUY | 0.0609999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 22:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 9? | BUY | 0.043 | $0.21 |
| 09-08 13:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? | BUY | 0.34 | $300.56 |
| 08-29 12:35 | Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5433333333 | $32.60 |
| 08-29 12:35 | Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5236119296 | $50.00 |
| 08-28 22:22 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.0615398457 | $17.78 |