PolyBot

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Traders

Cromanion

0x1c38cb4e483c79255e944d9e1a3c0d0aa08e919d

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$171.7k
Markets traded
286
Open portfolio
$405.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded286
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6860.611$267.61$33.05
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.1250.046$72.41$124.39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.0830.045$44.36$36.40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? · No0.0330.026$11.82$3.18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 17? · No0.0110.018$8.41+$3.41
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8600.969$1.13+$0.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? · No0.7150.000$0.00$228.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 9? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$20.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00$20.05
Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026? · No0.4110.000$0.00$132.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00$5.00
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$100.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 14:19Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?BUY0.033$15.00
09-15 14:17Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 17?BUY0.011$5.00
09-11 12:39Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 11?SELL0.02$3.68
09-11 12:38Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 11?SELL0.004$3.80
09-10 13:28Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10?SELL0.2$2.62
09-10 13:28Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10?SELL0.2066666667$24.80
09-10 13:27Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10?SELL0.23$30.62
09-10 12:21Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10?BUY0.036$4.20
09-10 12:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10?BUY0.0477364944$10.00
09-09 22:09Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 9?BUY0.0609999999$20.00
09-09 22:08Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 9?BUY0.043$0.21
09-08 13:34Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?BUY0.34$300.56
08-29 12:35Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5433333333$32.60
08-29 12:35Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5236119296$50.00
08-28 22:22Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?SELL0.0615398457$17.78