Cromanion
0x1c38cb4e483c79255e944d9e1a3c0d0aa08e919d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $182.4k
- Markets traded
- 293
- Open portfolio
- $455.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded293
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$438.81at 0.196 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$258.20at 0.616US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$203.68at 0.330US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$161.54at 0.330Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$108.38at 0.735Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 15:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.1499999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-13 15:29 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.058 | $11.60 |
| 10-12 12:52 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | SELL | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 10-12 12:39 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 09-29 14:47 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.7472463703 | $166.24 |
| 09-29 04:39 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.55 | $102.30 |
| 09-26 14:26 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2394353846 | $15.56 |
| 09-22 23:16 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 13:19 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 01:36 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.0820694148 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 14:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? | BUY | 0.033 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 14:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 17? | BUY | 0.011 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 12:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 11? | SELL | 0.02 | $3.68 |
| 09-11 12:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 11? | SELL | 0.004 | $3.80 |
| 09-10 13:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.62 |