0x1C30a3f7d891BC06441c6531954438917c9cB668-1780268562537
0x1c30a3f7d891bc06441c6531954438917c9cb668
- Realised P&L
- $717.09
- Volume
- $67.6k
- Markets traded
- 964
- Open portfolio
- $694.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded964
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.62at 0.061Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 21?
- +$129.51at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 30?
- +$101.19at 0.048Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 19?
- +$98.86at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 15?
- +$75.84at 0.358Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 09:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.3873964497 | $5.24 |
| 09-20 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5369999211 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3698372568 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.34 | $9.01 |
| 09-20 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.6399401914 | $10.70 |
| 09-20 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7941175583 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3537040537 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.67 | $7.47 |
| 09-20 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.44 | $4.89 |
| 09-20 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2772277118 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |