ranaman
0x1c2dfe9e9052dc4ad46fc73192bd90be7bb79cdb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.20
- Volume
- $63.65
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $0.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $0.49 | −$0.02 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.05 |
| BNB Up or Down - October 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Up | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Down | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.85 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Down | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| XRP Up or Down - October 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET · Up | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Down | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
| Solana Up or Down - October 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Down | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| BNB Up or Down - October 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Down | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| BNB Up or Down - October 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET · Up | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.65at 0.270Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$3.40at 0.320Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$3.10at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET