0x1c29f22ce6d90146c9174d1cd3da9fb0e0b0bbe6
0x1c29f22ce6d90146c9174d1cd3da9fb0e0b0bbe6
- Realised P&L
- $18.18
- Volume
- $164.37
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $7.07
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.545 | $1.82 | +$0.82 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · No | 0.370 | 0.445 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.177 | $1.15 | −$0.85 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.185 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.445 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? · No | 0.530 | 0.350 | $0.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.235 | $0.47 | −$0.53 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.066 | $0.22 | −$0.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$3.15at 0.394Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.80at 0.532Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
- +$1.77at 0.530US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:35 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:35 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:34 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:12 | OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:04 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:42 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:18 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 04:04 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:03 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:03 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 15:53 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 07:18 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 21:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 11:55 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |