0x1c215f26724f08c9e0724c6efa427195713eefa3
- Realised P&L
- $-2.18
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $141.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.018 | $58.04 | +$18.24 |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.051 | $32.13 | −$7.67 |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.018 | $28.38 | −$11.42 |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.181 | $18.28 | −$1.62 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.070 | $4.64 | −$1.33 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 11:13 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0899999991 | $5.97 |
| 09-15 11:08 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.1969999989 | $19.90 |
| 09-15 11:07 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0625522322 | $39.80 |
| 09-15 11:07 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.012 | $39.80 |
| 09-15 11:06 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0259478435 | $39.80 |