Koekblik
0x1c204d1c39c43d0983fc19621253b0a4c4129e4f
- Realised P&L
- $-8.00
- Volume
- $328.6k
- Markets traded
- 373
- Open portfolio
- $2.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded373
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $0.97 | −$1.47 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.155 | $0.78 | −$2.02 |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.004 | $0.48 | −$9.52 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$1.95 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode? · Yes | 0.512 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.00 |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.40 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.79 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.68 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.60at 0.295Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?
- +$60.32at 0.476Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
- +$53.09at 0.003Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
- +$32.12at 0.010Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
- +$27.60at 0.675Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-03 09:08 | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? | SELL | 0.89 | $35.59 |
| 03-11 10:19 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 02-19 21:10 | Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.1001000045 | $22.02 |
| 02-13 15:37 | Will Stijn van de Bunt (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 02-13 15:31 | Will Jorrit Bergsma (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.90 |
| 02-13 15:28 | Will Stijn van de Bunt (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.11 |
| 02-06 12:02 | Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.16 |
| 02-06 11:39 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 02-03 11:09 | Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $2.19 |
| 01-29 08:38 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 01-29 08:38 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 01-28 22:21 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 01-27 22:29 | Pelicans vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.14 | $3.78 |
| 01-27 21:24 | Pelicans vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.14 | $5.88 |
| 01-27 21:22 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |