alexdumi13
0x1c1ef56e58941cf805669a792faa3c8a42dba91f
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $117.3k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $1.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.465Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$612.58at 0.252Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
- +$599.71at 0.370Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$396.41at 0.339Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$354.33at 0.218Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 18:16 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2279999986 | $93.54 |
| 07-07 22:52 | Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.0940496813 | $109.00 |
| 06-24 20:42 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.6317826371 | $212.65 |
| 06-23 12:05 | Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 16:28 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1059999994 | $166.87 |
| 05-28 14:11 | Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.0348779137 | $34.39 |
| 05-28 14:11 | Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.0059960892 | $23.00 |
| 05-28 14:11 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.0700715677 | $40.00 |
| 05-28 13:35 | Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.0958267636 | $100.00 |
| 05-28 13:25 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0713046456 | $24.00 |
| 05-28 13:22 | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | BUY | 0.2457811977 | $48.00 |
| 01-25 18:03 | Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.01 | $61.00 |
| 12-07 19:14 | Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | SELL | 0.035 | $11.64 |
| 12-07 19:12 | Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%? | SELL | 0.0120978262 | $15.84 |
| 12-07 18:19 | Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%? | BUY | 0.036809816 | $15.00 |