0x1C19253135FF4FCa4857541C94c2Ca4608E9601C-1768942022740
0x1c19253135ff4fca4857541c94c2ca4608e9601c
- Realised P&L
- $-34.35
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $9.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.043 | $9.91 | −$12.75 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Down | 0.451 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Down | 0.516 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Down | 0.723 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Down | 0.484 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.56 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.30at 0.604Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
- +$6.72at 0.696Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
- +$5.41at 0.610Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
- +$5.10at 0.623Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
- +$4.95at 0.645Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 22:59 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | SELL | 0.1930885069 | $33.25 |
| 06-13 06:14 | Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 06:14 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | BUY | 0.14199997 | $4.00 |
| 06-10 22:47 | Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 06-10 20:08 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 20:07 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 20:24 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $14.40 |
| 05-17 21:26 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299998598 | $1.23 |
| 05-17 21:22 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | BUY | 0.3149999823 | $9.00 |
| 05-14 18:00 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 18:00 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | BUY | 0.1829805955 | $15.00 |
| 05-14 17:59 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $21.18 |
| 05-06 03:29 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.60 |
| 05-06 03:28 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | SELL | 0.3588560474 | $10.30 |
| 05-02 06:43 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | BUY | 0.0919999927 | $11.00 |