PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lorenzcurve

0x1c138c2c8ab06660f7cf02aa0368563a6806c371

Realised P&L
$35.86
Volume
$30.2k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 20:40Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?SELL0.996$1.1k
04-27 20:33Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL0.997$997.00
04-27 20:33Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?SELL0.998$998.00
04-18 05:22Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?BUY0.91$75.73
04-18 05:22Insurrection Act invoked by April 30?BUY0.995$22.90
04-18 05:21Insurrection Act invoked by April 30?BUY0.994$99.40
04-18 05:21Insurrection Act invoked by April 30?BUY0.9958494427$251.08
04-18 05:19Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?BUY0.9729965469$1.1k
04-18 05:19Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?BUY0.93$877.92
04-15 07:52Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?BUY0.994$497.00
04-15 07:48Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.992$297.60
04-15 07:46Insurrection Act invoked by April 30?BUY0.9895958447$1.8k
04-08 07:01Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?BUY0.9791209375$125.33
04-08 07:00Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?SELL0.482$289.20
04-08 07:00Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?SELL0.3756759062$176.19