0x1C134Acf6411D3c799bff067a4A35B049e11ce0E-1762519910439
0x1c134acf6411d3c799bff067a4a35b049e11ce0e
- Realised P&L
- $16.14
- Volume
- $268.3k
- Markets traded
- 254
- Open portfolio
- $1.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded254
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$332.58at 0.505Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
- +$325.78at 0.066Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$299.83at 0.383Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$273.20at 0.237Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
- +$139.27at 0.210Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-25 12:01 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-25 11:32 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 19:00 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 17:34 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999923 | $10.12 |
| 04-23 17:25 | Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30? | BUY | 0.0370000002 | $8.00 |
| 04-23 17:14 | Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0060011042 | $1.84 |
| 04-23 10:48 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $14.00 |
| 04-17 10:23 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 04-16 22:23 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 19:29 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 18:59 | Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0189999908 | $2.00 |
| 04-16 18:57 | Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0180000002 | $2.00 |
| 04-16 18:44 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 04-16 18:09 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 04-16 13:24 | Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0047625851 | $0.92 |