PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1C134Acf6411D3c799bff067a4A35B049e11ce0E-1762519910439

0x1c134acf6411d3c799bff067a4a35b049e11ce0e

Realised P&L
$16.14
Volume
$268.3k
Markets traded
254
Open portfolio
$1.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded254
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0360.029$0.82$0.18
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.66$0.34
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0250.003$0.10$0.90
Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$8.00
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$30.00
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00$0.96
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 28, 2026? · No0.0310.000$0.00$3.00
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 1 Galatasaray SK? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$8.00
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$3.99
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in April? · No0.0270.000$0.00$7.25
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-25 12:01US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
04-25 11:32US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
04-23 19:00US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
04-23 17:34US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.0899999923$10.12
04-23 17:25Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?BUY0.0370000002$8.00
04-23 17:14Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?BUY0.0060011042$1.84
04-23 10:48US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.1$14.00
04-17 10:23Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?BUY0.001$3.00
04-16 22:23Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?BUY0.003$1.00
04-16 19:29Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?BUY0.008$1.00
04-16 18:59Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?BUY0.0189999908$2.00
04-16 18:57Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?BUY0.0180000002$2.00
04-16 18:44Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?BUY0.01$2.00
04-16 18:09Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?BUY0.01$3.00
04-16 13:24Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 22, 2026?BUY0.0047625851$0.92
Trader 0x1C134Acf6411D3c799bff067a4A35B049e11ce0E-1762519910439 · PolyBot