1446e1da-27fe-43db-97fb-9bd41178eb6c
0x1c0e42275bd2ccdd887b5525a58df0cbda6db522
- Realised P&L
- $-41.73
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $22.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.00at 0.130Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$21.05at 0.267Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$16.70at 0.636Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
- +$13.38at 0.583Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$11.60at 0.420Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-15 07:07 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.65 |
| 01-14 20:43 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 01-14 20:37 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 01-14 20:09 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 01-14 20:04 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 01-14 11:17 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 01-14 11:17 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 01-10 16:29 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 01-06 21:51 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06? | SELL | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 01-06 21:49 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 01-05 11:11 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.63 | $44.10 |
| 01-04 23:15 | Lions vs. Bears | BUY | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 01-04 23:03 | Lions vs. Bears | BUY | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 01-04 19:59 | Saints vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 01-04 19:58 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.58 | $3.60 |