PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1446e1da-27fe-43db-97fb-9bd41178eb6c

0x1c0e42275bd2ccdd887b5525a58df0cbda6db522

Realised P&L
$-41.73
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$22.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · Yes0.5690.155$22.48−$60.02
Timberwolves vs. Jazz · Jazz0.2700.000$0.00−$2.70
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00−$32.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$7.20
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix? · No0.6300.000$0.00−$6.30
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz · Fritz0.2050.000$0.00−$4.10
Nuggets vs. Kings · Kings0.2400.000$0.00−$2.40
Jets vs. Patriots · Jets0.1500.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$11.10
Celtics vs. Nets · Nets0.1800.000$0.00−$1.80
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files? · Yes0.1830.000$0.00−$1.82
Lakers vs. Hornets · Hornets0.2500.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$10.20
Warriors vs. Thunder · Warriors0.2800.000$0.00−$2.80
Bills vs. Texans · Bills0.7200.000$0.00−$7.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-15 07:07US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?SELL0.11$1.65
01-14 20:43US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?BUY0.24$1.20
01-14 20:37US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?SELL0.15$1.50
01-14 20:09US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
01-14 20:04US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.72$7.20
01-14 11:17Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.45$4.50
01-14 11:17Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.17$5.10
01-10 16:29Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.17$5.10
01-06 21:51Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?SELL0.88$4.40
01-06 21:49Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?BUY0.88$4.40
01-05 11:11Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?BUY0.63$44.10
01-04 23:15Lions vs. BearsBUY0.94$9.40
01-04 23:03Lions vs. BearsBUY0.79$15.80
01-04 19:59Saints vs. FalconsBUY0.76$15.20
01-04 19:58Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?BUY0.58$3.60