watchme159
0x1c0c6d1976376ad808961476aae8e41184639d02
- Realised P&L
- $-606.24
- Volume
- $418.1k
- Markets traded
- 583
- Open portfolio
- $248.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded583
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$527.35at 0.037Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$358.53at 0.568CZ jail before March?
- +$265.12at 0.430Will Circle IPO by June?
- +$229.04at 0.002Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$173.33at 0.630Will Biden finish his term?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 19:52 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1959999927 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 20:09 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 18:41 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1659999885 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 18:41 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999871 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 18:40 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999952 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 18:40 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0459999957 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 18:40 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999979 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 18:40 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999979 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 18:40 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999983 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 18:39 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 18:39 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0139999986 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 18:39 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0139999986 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 18:38 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0119999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 18:37 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0119999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 18:37 | Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |