PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

watchme159

0x1c0c6d1976376ad808961476aae8e41184639d02

Realised P&L
$-606.24
Volume
$418.1k
Markets traded
583
Open portfolio
$248.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded583
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0040.024$58.75+$48.75
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0370.095$25.54+$15.54
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0210.054$25.06+$15.06
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0080.015$19.38+$9.38
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0230.044$19.35+$9.35
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0250.048$19.00+$9.00
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0420.043$10.33+$0.33
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0200.018$8.82$1.18
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0040.004$8.75$1.25
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0080.005$6.88$3.13
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.1020.070$6.81$3.19
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0590.040$6.69$3.30
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0220.013$5.66$4.34
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0310.017$5.32$4.68
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0040.002$3.75$6.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 19:52Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1959999927$20.00
07-11 20:09Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
06-12 18:41Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1659999885$10.00
06-12 18:41Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1609999871$10.00
06-12 18:40Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0519999952$10.00
06-12 18:40Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0459999957$10.00
06-12 18:40Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0219999979$10.00
06-12 18:40Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0209999979$10.00
06-12 18:40Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0179999983$10.00
06-12 18:39Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$10.00
06-12 18:39Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0139999986$10.00
06-12 18:39Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0139999986$10.00
06-12 18:38Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0119999988$10.00
06-12 18:37Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0119999988$10.00
06-12 18:37Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$10.00