Whoknows69
0x1c0bb6056e4760cda3b76be160ba8f60b2d755e1
- Realised P&L
- $396.70
- Volume
- $1.55M
- Markets traded
- 5,067
- Open portfolio
- $26.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,067
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.315 | $12.60 | −$7.00 |
| Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15? · No | 0.500 | 0.215 | $3.87 | −$5.13 |
| Will MOUZ Make a Roster Change by December 31? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.320 | $3.20 | −$5.60 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? · No | 0.220 | 0.145 | $2.90 | −$1.50 |
| Will Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on September 18? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.355 | $1.42 | +$1.26 |
| Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.305 | $0.75 | −$0.48 |
| Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.037 | $0.75 | −$15.65 |
| Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.670 | $0.67 | +$0.17 |
| Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$3.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$504.30at 0.798Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$390.40at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$372.38at 0.761Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
- +$362.54at 0.741Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
- +$358.25at 0.744Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 13:08 | Will Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on September 18? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.88 |
| 09-18 12:26 | Will Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on September 18? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.04 |
| 09-17 16:11 | Will New Orleans, LA face tornado risk on September 17? | SELL | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 09-17 15:14 | Will St. Louis, MO face tornado risk on September 17? | SELL | 0.985 | $20.68 |
| 09-17 14:39 | Will Tampa, FL face tornado risk on September 17? | SELL | 0.985 | $20.68 |
| 09-17 14:38 | Will Kansas City, MO face tornado risk on September 17? | SELL | 0.985 | $20.68 |
| 09-17 13:09 | Will Oklahoma City, OK face tornado risk on September 17? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.20 |
| 09-17 13:08 | Will Memphis, TN face tornado risk on September 17? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 12:50 | Will Birmingham, AL face tornado risk on September 17? | SELL | 0.97 | $19.50 |
| 09-17 12:49 | Will Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on September 17? | SELL | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-17 12:48 | Will Little Rock, AR face tornado risk on September 17? | SELL | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-15 22:40 | Will Wichita, KS face tornado risk on September 15? | BUY | 0.981 | $32.37 |
| 09-15 19:12 | Will San Antonio, TX face tornado risk on September 15? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.23 |
| 09-15 15:08 | Will Houston, TX face tornado risk on September 15? | SELL | 0.972 | $13.61 |
| 09-15 15:08 | Will Houston, TX face tornado risk on September 15? | SELL | 0.972 | $19.44 |