PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dfedd

0x1c021d6d2f106378e5764940fe6df4e20e51019e

Realised P&L
$-8.68
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$12.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? · No0.9980.999$10.61+$0.01
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? · No0.7500.745$1.89−$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 24? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.40
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 1? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.36
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on December 15? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 15? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$3.60
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 28? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.18
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) · Dolphins0.5100.000$0.00−$1.02
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 14? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 13:06Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?BUY0.9975294208$10.60
10-08 12:59Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY0.7499998026$1.90
09-25 09:20Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.999$12.50
09-25 09:18Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)BUY0.51$1.02
07-30 05:59Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9989999639$13.50
06-09 12:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?BUY0.999$97.00
06-09 12:54Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?BUY0.002$2.40
06-06 02:07Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?BUY0.999$99.00
05-25 12:08Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY0.9989999909$99.00
05-21 10:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?BUY0.999$99.00
05-15 09:37Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15?BUY0.997$99.00
05-10 06:28Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?BUY0.999$92.00
05-10 06:28Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 10?BUY0.998999334$1.20
05-10 06:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?BUY0.99799901$1.00
05-10 06:27Will the highest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on May 10?BUY0.999$1.60