0x1c00ba291e7f9c2a229b8b8bdf717dbfdb5e7af4
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.340China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- +$2.2kat 0.423Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.172US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
- +$1.3kat 0.525Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- +$1.1kat 0.238Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:04 | Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.31 |
| 09-14 10:41 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | SELL | 0.821 | $2.38 |
| 09-14 10:40 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.2380197477 | $4.34 |
| 09-14 10:40 | Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.94 | $6.60 |
| 09-14 10:40 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $13.80 |
| 09-14 10:40 | LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? | SELL | 0.94 | $19.74 |
| 09-14 10:40 | Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | SELL | 0.9923043243 | $36.72 |
| 09-14 10:40 | Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | SELL | 0.996 | $33.61 |
| 09-14 10:40 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.901 | $65.77 |
| 09-14 10:39 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $189.00 |
| 09-14 07:07 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.93 | $65.10 |
| 09-13 22:13 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 09-08 16:20 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.2798507463 | $18.75 |
| 09-08 16:19 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $2.06 |
| 09-08 16:18 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.9585496129 | $27.24 |