Nailcannon
0x1be8ff3b0510da44bc435aac161def769c37f6f0
- Realised P&L
- $-294.57
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $759.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.435 | 0.350 | $759.48 | −$185.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-114.25at 0.610Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 23:59 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999992 | $300.00 |
| 08-12 04:57 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.2359953333 | $70.80 |
| 08-11 13:40 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999993 | $248.32 |
| 08-10 00:28 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $180.00 |
| 08-09 18:08 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999994 | $300.00 |
| 08-06 15:34 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.403705817 | $96.53 |