kriffbrian
0x1be7af814d1e912fea67073acea738c41bf6fb7b
- Realised P&L
- $6.80
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $44.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 15? · Yes | 0.991 | 0.983 | $44.61 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.66at 0.580Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$0.29at 0.972Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?
- +$0.28at 0.975Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 29?
- +$0.25at 0.985Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 7?
- +$0.22at 0.986Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 19:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 15? | BUY | 0.9909999804 | $45.00 |
| 10-14 02:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 14? | BUY | 0.997 | $45.00 |
| 10-12 17:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 20:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 12? | BUY | 0.9958340277 | $30.00 |
| 10-10 13:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.9978336937 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 21:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.9949999387 | $16.00 |
| 10-08 01:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9936894699 | $16.00 |
| 10-06 16:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9836906617 | $15.90 |
| 10-05 22:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.985 | $15.50 |
| 10-05 04:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 5? | BUY | 0.9959999976 | $15.00 |
| 10-05 04:13 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.83 | $15.81 |
| 10-03 01:10 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5699999874 | $10.86 |
| 10-03 01:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3? | SELL | 0.0317958572 | $11.67 |
| 10-03 01:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.0310706073 | $11.40 |
| 10-01 19:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9955851655 | $12.00 |