PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1be6AeA8094056F1F5E5ECD9150f859a3e02336B-1761247849715

0x1be6aea8094056f1f5e5ecd9150f859a3e02336b

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$165.9k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3870.542$1.0k+$290.17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5050.065$172.33$1.2k
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0140.001$38.20$1.1k
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0240.002$6.31$93.69
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1090.002$1.37$98.63
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$34.30
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$100.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? · Yes0.4670.000$0.00$573.77
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00$100.00
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-24 14:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3830859463$20.00
04-24 14:07Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3867738016$700.00
04-24 14:07Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1091865592$100.00
04-20 13:42Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?BUY0.3893201691$456.03
04-14 13:08Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0237787473$100.00
04-08 15:02Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.004$100.00
03-25 18:13Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0194534169$1000.00
02-18 13:52US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?BUY0.0569999985$34.30
02-18 13:51US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?BUY0.025$20.00
02-15 20:48Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.3824571779$97.21
02-06 19:13Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.5599999987$85.08
01-15 17:46Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.1738935487$100.00
01-14 17:48Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.56$180.64
01-14 17:47Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.5306186608$40.00
01-14 17:47Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.5288580186$100.00