PolyBot

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Traders

er4ytay

0x1be4f61f0e73b369f52de1aadf1d073ec066296f

Realised P&L
$-2.57
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$1.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat? · Yes0.8800.957$1.09+$0.09
Boxing: Will Usyk win by KO/TKO/DQ? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 11:11Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.993$52.15
06-17 10:46Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.995$52.00
06-17 10:46Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.994$51.69
06-17 10:46Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.995$52.00
05-07 04:59Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.994$196.79
05-04 12:25Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.995$197.00
04-03 06:03Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.993$176.87
04-03 06:03Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.991$94.43
04-01 08:37Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9969475289$95.00
04-01 08:36Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.994$176.00
04-01 08:35Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.993$174.77
04-01 08:35Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.994$176.00
02-17 11:04Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.998$141.86
02-16 09:19Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.999$142.00
01-29 07:56Will the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat?BUY0.8799999648$1.00