0x1be344e912d7880342482e7b38f9402ac76fb40a
0x1be344e912d7880342482e7b38f9402ac76fb40a
- Realised P&L
- $8.77
- Volume
- $430.75
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $5.69
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.660 | $2.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.240 | $2.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.150 | $1.15 | −$0.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$5.35at 0.278Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$3.83at 0.349Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on August 31, 2026?
- +$3.65at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:16 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 23:53 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 10:40 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 02:39 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 00:58 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 16:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 07:42 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 23:18 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 15:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699998807 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 06:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 21:57 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 00:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 14:27 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 04:51 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 19:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |