PolyBot

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Traders

0x1be344e912d7880342482e7b38f9402ac76fb40a

Realised P&L
$2.95
Volume
$128.69
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$10.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.5900.815$2.76+$0.76
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.2200.275$2.50+$0.50
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · No0.7000.695$1.99$0.01
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · No0.7500.720$1.92$0.08
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.3000.145$0.97$1.03
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3000.114$0.76$1.24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.2400.002$0.01$1.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 00:11Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.7$2.00
08-04 16:11US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-04 08:10Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
08-04 00:10Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?BUY0.7499997187$2.00
08-03 16:10Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.299999925$2.00
08-03 08:09Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.299999925$2.00
08-03 00:01Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.707999983$2.00
08-02 15:58Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.34999993$2.00
08-02 06:41Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.6499998789$1.61
08-01 22:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-01 13:55Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-01 05:15Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 21:10New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 13:09Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.37$1.11
07-31 00:25Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.4599999114$1.87