0x1be344e912d7880342482e7b38f9402ac76fb40a
- Realised P&L
- $2.95
- Volume
- $128.69
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $10.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.815 | $2.76 | +$0.76 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.220 | 0.275 | $2.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · No | 0.700 | 0.695 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · No | 0.750 | 0.720 | $1.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.145 | $0.97 | −$1.03 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.114 | $0.76 | −$1.24 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No | 0.240 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$1.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.71at 0.350Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$1.89at 0.370Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?
- +$1.87at 0.510Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$1.53at 0.490Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$1.53at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 00:11 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:11 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 08:10 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 00:10 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | BUY | 0.7499997187 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 16:10 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 08:09 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 00:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.707999983 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 15:58 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 06:41 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.6499998789 | $1.61 |
| 08-01 22:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 13:55 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 05:15 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 21:10 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 13:09 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.11 |
| 07-31 00:25 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999114 | $1.87 |