0x1be206ee7b95c1adc038043640411996d3155a92
0x1be206ee7b95c1adc038043640411996d3155a92
- Realised P&L
- $27.17
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $3.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.004 | $0.94 | −$4.06 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 17? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.009 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.013 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.065 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.053 | $0.55 | −$0.45 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 16? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 16? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$0.46 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6AM ET · Up | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.26at 0.049Ethereum Up or Down on October 15?
- +$1.97at 0.198Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 09:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 09:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 05:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 05:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.0969999939 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 16:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 16:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.52 |
| 10-15 15:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.0269999998 | $3.00 |
| 10-15 15:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.26 |
| 10-15 15:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.593 | $3.29 |
| 10-15 15:05 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 15? | SELL | 0.329 | $37.01 |
| 10-15 14:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 14:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.0179999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 14:09 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:35 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 10-15 10:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |