PolyBot

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Traders

0x1be1c6480c0ae069abde2b31a5cbbe7212b82611

0x1be1c6480c0ae069abde2b31a5cbbe7212b82611

Realised P&L
$2.18
Volume
$118.58
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$1.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28? · Yes0.7800.875$1.12+$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 07:17Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28?BUY0.78$1.00
10-01 23:06Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-24 22:08Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-24 02:08Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.7099999843$1.36
08-07 07:37Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-06 23:37Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-06 15:36Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-06 07:36Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-05 11:35Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.78$2.00
08-01 14:39Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999232$1.77
07-29 23:24SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 30?BUY0.41$1.23
07-29 12:38Will Warsh say "Spending" during July Press Conference?BUY0.44$1.54
07-28 20:09Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?BUY0.49$1.47
07-28 09:47Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.5599998939$1.90
07-27 22:59Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?BUY0.6699999498$1.87