PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1Bdf14D67eF50b4aEE12be114aA6866697449DF3-1772554102284

0x1bdf14d67ef50b4aee12be114aa6866697449df3

Realised P&L
$61.94
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$8.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3940.291$7.39−$2.61
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-10-15? · Yes0.1400.015$1.61−$13.39
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$10.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Down0.4160.000$0.00−$2.21
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Up0.4880.000$0.00−$5.00
Suns vs. Pacers · Pacers0.1700.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Up0.1510.000$0.00−$2.00
Grizzlies vs. Nets · Grizzlies0.5300.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.2220.000$0.00−$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 9? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 6? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 14:38Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-10-15?BUY0.1399999989$15.00
10-14 18:13Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.2799999978$10.00
10-13 19:51Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.32$10.84
10-13 19:38Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.5099999906$20.00
10-13 17:09Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.3299999924$10.00
10-08 19:12Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3939999947$10.00
10-06 19:29Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.3899999945$10.00
09-22 11:13Will Spain win on 2026-09-23?BUY0.7099999918$20.00
07-12 00:30Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4599999844$10.00
03-12 23:53Suns vs. PacersBUY0.1699999422$2.00
03-12 12:56Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.41$2.15
03-12 12:51Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.14999994$1.98
03-11 00:53Celtics vs. SpursBUY0.5$3.00
03-09 18:23Grizzlies vs. NetsBUY0.529999965$5.00
03-09 11:12Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 9?BUY0.3399999633$5.00