0x1bd1d9706c98b2b721626df7ae7b78e893a34b58
0x1bd1d9706c98b2b721626df7ae7b78e893a34b58
- Realised P&L
- $-26.96
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $27.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.405 | $4.05 | +$0.05 |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 FC Barcelona? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.054 | $4.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.385 | $3.95 | −$0.05 |
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 4 - 1 AEK? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $3.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.645 | $2.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.865 | $2.95 | −$0.05 |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 1 Villarreal CF? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.105 | $2.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.304 | 0.197 | $1.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $1.25 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.52at 0.199Will Greece vs. Netherlands end in a draw?
- +$3.84at 0.312Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$3.12at 0.250Will Suriname vs. Guatemala end in a draw?
- +$2.87at 0.515Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$1.70at 0.615Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 08:06 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.6499999458 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 08:05 | Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 1 Villarreal CF? | BUY | 0.1099999971 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 08:04 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.8799999765 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 08:04 | Exact Score: Manchester City FC 4 - 1 AEK? | BUY | 0.069999999 | $4.00 |
| 10-20 08:03 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.3899999717 | $4.00 |
| 10-20 08:03 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 10-20 08:02 | Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 FC Barcelona? | BUY | 0.0539999993 | $4.00 |
| 10-18 20:58 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.659 | $2.13 |
| 10-18 20:57 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.31 |
| 10-18 19:37 | Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: Draw at halftime? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.68 |
| 10-18 19:36 | Real Madrid CF leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.88 | $5.86 |
| 10-18 17:27 | Exact Score: Málaga CF 0 - 2 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 16:12 | Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC? | BUY | 0.0739999973 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 15:24 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 11:53 | Real Madrid CF leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.59999997 | $4.00 |