PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x1bCFe389AA1dAC7F922E24516DFD09E7b789B52e-1783085996607

0x1bcfe389aa1dac7f922e24516dfd09e7b789b52e

Realised P&L
$154.20
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$69.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.8000.765$47.81−$2.19
Will Chile win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.1800.165$9.17−$0.83
Will Nigeria win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.2190.165$7.54−$2.46
Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.2300.235$5.11+$0.11
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 01:26Will Nigeria win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.2189054687$10.00
10-06 01:26Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.229999994$5.00
10-06 01:25Will Chile win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.1799999986$10.00
10-06 01:24Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.8$50.00
10-01 17:45Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4899999984$60.00
10-01 17:44Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4399999996$40.00
09-29 14:52Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-29 14:52Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.069999999$2.00
09-28 19:11Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4599999965$50.00
09-20 16:25Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.2299999993$10.00
09-20 16:21Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?SELL0.999$269.71
09-20 16:09Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?SELL0.001078369$0.22
09-20 15:56Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.985222193$266.00
09-20 15:36Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.0599999999$10.00
09-20 15:07Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?SELL0.999$277.03