huanghun
0x1bcc0b720481b9e95f30fae68aa0c5441e3c160a
- Realised P&L
- $-598.38
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 147
- Open portfolio
- $33.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded147
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.69at 0.961Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
- +$0.53at 0.958Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on March 23?
- +$0.00at 0.710Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
- +$0.00at 0.840Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$0.00at 0.790Will Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 03:03 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? | SELL | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 08-07 16:18 | Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | SELL | 0.736 | $36.80 |
| 08-06 13:12 | Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series? | SELL | 0.724 | $36.20 |
| 08-05 08:10 | Will Dusan Vlahovic stay at Juventus? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:34 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 08-04 15:28 | Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | SELL | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 08-04 15:28 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-04 15:27 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.859 | $42.95 |
| 08-03 15:21 | Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 08-03 04:26 | Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 08-03 03:17 | Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? | SELL | 0.672 | $33.60 |
| 08-03 03:16 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | SELL | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 08-02 13:12 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 08-02 09:52 | Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 08-01 08:38 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $12.50 |