PolyBot

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Traders

Swordi

0x1bcbdf70b2fe05f26f817fb0f7d42005af4227c8

Realised P&L
$-35.79
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$1.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat? · Yes0.9400.950$1.07+$0.01
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$1.38
Will Bernie say "King" during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26? · Yes0.9600.000$0.00−$1.04
US-EU trade agreement by July 9? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$1.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 12:55Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.991$94.90
07-26 12:54Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.993$66.29
07-26 12:54Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.997$39.96
07-22 07:29Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.9944937121$66.00
07-22 07:29Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.993$65.54
07-22 07:29Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.994$66.00
07-22 07:29Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.998$40.00
07-22 07:28Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.992$95.00
07-06 12:32Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?SELL0.998$150.98
06-22 05:38Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?BUY0.996$150.00
06-22 05:38Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?SELL0.992$148.80
06-22 05:37Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?BUY0.9954804255$150.00
06-22 05:37Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.997$130.00
06-22 05:36Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.995$130.00
06-22 05:36Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.994$129.22