hao303
0x1bcbccb884a8626431cd25fde855fcd4b4aeb470
- Realised P&L
- $41.37
- Volume
- $26.4k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.81at 0.821Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?
- +$14.30at 0.790Solana above $215 on January 24?
- +$9.64at 0.012Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
- +$8.40at 0.580Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$7.00at 0.650Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 15:44 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.954 | $47.70 |
| 09-21 12:46 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 09-21 12:39 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of September 21 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 09-21 12:25 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 09-21 11:42 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 Week of September 21 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 09-21 11:35 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 09-21 11:13 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in September? | SELL | 0.955 | $47.75 |
| 09-21 08:58 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 21 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 09-21 08:13 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 21 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 09-21 07:17 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of September 21 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 09-21 07:07 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 Week of September 21 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 09-21 07:05 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 09-21 06:25 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.26 |
| 09-21 06:22 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 Week of September 21 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 09-21 06:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |