PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hao303

0x1bcbccb884a8626431cd25fde855fcd4b4aeb470

Realised P&L
$41.37
Volume
$26.4k
Markets traded
130
Open portfolio
$0.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded130
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 58 million views on day 3? · Yes0.0010.001$0.01$0.01
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.0300.000$0.00$0.60
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$0.40
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.06
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.7900.000$0.00$15.80
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$0.70
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 29? · Down0.0050.000$0.00$0.10
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.0020.000$0.00$0.15
Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.30
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.18
Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer" in June? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$0.10
Will Trump say "Satan" in June? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$0.26
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 28? · No0.0350.000$0.00$0.70
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 29, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.04
Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 15:44Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.954$47.70
09-21 12:46Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026?SELL0.01$0.20
09-21 12:39Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of September 21 2026?SELL0.02$0.40
09-21 12:25Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026?SELL0.03$0.60
09-21 11:42Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 Week of September 21 2026?SELL0.93$18.60
09-21 11:35Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.03$1.50
09-21 11:13Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in September?SELL0.955$47.75
09-21 08:58Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 21 2026?SELL0.02$0.40
09-21 08:13Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 21 2026?SELL0.03$0.60
09-21 07:17Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of September 21 2026?SELL0.92$18.40
09-21 07:07Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 Week of September 21 2026?SELL0.89$17.80
09-21 07:05Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?SELL0.003$0.06
09-21 06:25Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?SELL0.013$0.26
09-21 06:22Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 Week of September 21 2026?SELL0.91$18.20
09-21 06:02Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?SELL0.01$0.20