0x1bcb01d1b7e15c722656252cd5757d07568b04a4
0x1bcb01d1b7e15c722656252cd5757d07568b04a4
- Realised P&L
- $-26.45
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $722.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.345 | $536.00 | −$7.77 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.203 | $61.38 | −$1.36 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.170 | 0.055 | $58.66 | −$122.65 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.822 | 0.875 | $58.61 | +$3.58 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.973 | 0.962 | $8.35 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.19at 0.819Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$-0.49at 0.025Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-1.23at 0.014Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$-5.53at 0.700Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-5.79at 0.650Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:01 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.35 | $543.77 |
| 07-21 20:20 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.025 | $12.60 |
| 04-25 14:11 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.206 | $14.09 |
| 04-25 11:24 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.208 | $171.59 |
| 04-24 23:03 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.025 | $12.61 |
| 03-11 12:24 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.17 | $181.31 |
| 03-11 01:16 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.822 | $55.02 |
| 12-29 04:20 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.854 | $105.81 |
| 12-27 08:10 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.01 |
| 12-26 03:36 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.69 | $67.77 |
| 12-19 09:01 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.64 | $11.82 |
| 12-19 07:34 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.69 | $313.51 |
| 12-15 06:19 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.65 | $325.11 |
| 12-15 02:09 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.64 | $358.51 |
| 12-14 00:31 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.0128304234 | $1.87 |