ChoYou
0x1bc99b5d107eac22d27ceaa3b99b47b3376a918e
- Realised P&L
- $-987.59
- Volume
- $236.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes | 0.009 | 0.005 | $1.1k | −$741.25 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.715 | $10.83 | +$0.83 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$811.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.30at 0.945NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$4.16at 0.950Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$-29.22at 0.378Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
- +$-86.21at 0.185Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
- +$-109.42at 0.6192026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 13:45 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.008 | $84.00 |
| 10-26 04:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.95 | $79.00 |
| 10-26 03:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.00910328 | $1.0k |
| 10-26 00:22 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.973 | $1.1k |
| 10-26 00:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 10-25 23:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0629856563 | $500.00 |
| 10-25 23:35 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9734210238 | $497.09 |
| 10-25 23:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0559999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 23:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0989587045 | $300.00 |
| 10-25 23:15 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.39 | $303.12 |
| 10-13 04:25 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999992 | $864.00 |
| 10-13 04:24 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.38 | $886.03 |
| 10-13 04:14 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999928 | $46.00 |
| 10-13 00:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.01 | $200.00 |
| 10-13 00:30 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9434215208 | $900.00 |