the.Hound
0x1bc8b6519eb646dab62ac7be5b55920f5bb72f68
- Realised P&L
- $-127.9k
- Volume
- $3.90M
- Markets traded
- 579
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded579
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHL: Luleå vs. Frölunda HC · Frölunda HC | 0.420 | 1.000 | $1.7k | +$984.61 |
| Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.270 | 0.275 | $1.5k | +$27.20 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · No | 0.390 | 0.245 | $980.00 | −$580.00 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.468 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$314.00 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.2k |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5 · Under | 0.477 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.7k |
| Grizzlies vs. Hawks · Grizzlies | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.50 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-09? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$375.32 |
| Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5) · Fluminense FC | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$224.40 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$627.20 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$401.36 |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-12? · No | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$658.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.6kat 0.615Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?
- +$15.7kat 0.260Will Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
- +$15.2kat 0.489Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score
- +$12.7kat 0.310Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$12.0kat 0.514Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 18:19 | Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.27 | $1.5k |
| 09-24 16:49 | SHL: Luleå vs. Frölunda HC | BUY | 0.42 | $713.61 |
| 09-24 16:32 | Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) | BUY | 0.29 | $425.72 |
| 09-24 16:20 | Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $613.47 |
| 09-24 15:42 | Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $671.97 |
| 09-24 15:38 | Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $629.85 |
| 09-23 19:11 | Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) | BUY | 0.34 | $1.3k |
| 09-22 21:03 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.31 | $219.48 |
| 09-22 00:06 | Giants vs. Rams: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $2.8k |
| 09-21 23:50 | Giants vs. Rams: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $722.40 |
| 09-21 23:48 | NYG vs. LA: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $1.6k |
| 09-21 23:46 | Giants vs. Rams: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $2.6k |
| 09-21 22:07 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.27 | $228.69 |
| 09-21 21:53 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.27 | $2.0k |
| 09-20 23:33 | Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.41 | $4.2k |