PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

RenaTT

0x1bc6da8f5924485d982ea166deb40f16359de748

Realised P&L
$-271.73
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$0.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.0320.001$0.05−$3.15
1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.0350.001$0.05−$3.45
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 13:21Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.070490918$7.18
05-06 20:28Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.983$196.60
04-28 13:33Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.965$96.50
04-06 18:57US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.004$2.00
04-05 03:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?BUY0.3399999978$94.72
03-23 11:19Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?BUY0.0644627139$25.00
03-04 14:40Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?SELL0.14$0.19
02-28 16:25Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL0.92$27.60
01-04 20:06Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.54$55.00
12-30 15:57Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?SELL0.004$0.40
12-30 15:56Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?SELL0.01$1.00
11-04 03:36Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?BUY0.3849999626$4.07
10-26 07:45Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?SELL0.12$9.00
10-24 17:43Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?SELL0.998$199.60
10-02 08:24Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?BUY0.0240000002$5.00