RenaTT
0x1bc6da8f5924485d982ea166deb40f16359de748
- Realised P&L
- $-271.73
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $0.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$3.15 |
| 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$3.45 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.60at 0.440Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
- +$73.99at 0.260Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
- +$43.83at 0.064Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$32.00at 0.600Will Russia recapture Sudzha by June 30?
- +$22.80at 0.620Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 13:21 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.070490918 | $7.18 |
| 05-06 20:28 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.983 | $196.60 |
| 04-28 13:33 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $96.50 |
| 04-06 18:57 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 04-05 03:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $94.72 |
| 03-23 11:19 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0644627139 | $25.00 |
| 03-04 14:40 | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.19 |
| 02-28 16:25 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $27.60 |
| 01-04 20:06 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.54 | $55.00 |
| 12-30 15:57 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 12-30 15:56 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 11-04 03:36 | Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025? | BUY | 0.3849999626 | $4.07 |
| 10-26 07:45 | Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $9.00 |
| 10-24 17:43 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $199.60 |
| 10-02 08:24 | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.0240000002 | $5.00 |