0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
- Realised P&L
- $-28.9k
- Volume
- $1.23M
- Markets traded
- 4,125
- Open portfolio
- $52.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,125
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? · No | 0.557 | 0.550 | $15.3k | −$183.49 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? · No | 0.790 | 0.790 | $3.6k | +$0.00 |
| Ravens vs. Bills · Ravens | 0.151 | 0.105 | $3.3k | −$1.5k |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) · Steelers | 0.510 | 0.885 | $3.1k | +$1.3k |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.593 | 0.595 | $2.6k | +$8.90 |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers · Buccaneers | 0.745 | 0.815 | $2.2k | +$191.50 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? · Yes | 0.336 | 0.335 | $1.9k | −$7.69 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? · Yes | 0.611 | 0.665 | $1.8k | +$146.05 |
| Browns vs. Steelers · Browns | 0.130 | 0.055 | $1.5k | −$2.0k |
| Raiders vs. Jets · Jets | 0.545 | 0.705 | $1.4k | +$325.97 |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.545 | $1.1k | +$29.99 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.555 | $1.0k | −$45.46 |
| Spread: Lions (-10.5) · Vikings | 0.726 | 0.880 | $968.00 | +$169.00 |
| Ravens vs. Bills · Bills | 0.860 | 0.895 | $939.74 | +$36.75 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.825 | $882.76 | +$26.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.6kat 0.29076ers vs. Hornets
- +$15.5kat 0.467Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
- +$14.7kat 0.287Nets vs. Celtics
- +$5.8kat 0.442Harvard vs. Dartmouth
- +$4.8kat 0.467Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:40 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $3.50 |
| 11-01 19:40 | Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 11-01 19:40 | Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 11-01 19:39 | Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $3.59 |
| 11-01 19:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $10.56 |
| 11-01 19:37 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 11-01 19:36 | Ravens vs. Bills | BUY | 0.86 | $902.99 |
| 11-01 19:36 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 11-01 19:36 | Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $12.92 |
| 11-01 19:36 | Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $12.32 |
| 11-01 19:35 | Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $12.32 |
| 11-01 19:35 | Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $10.08 |
| 11-01 19:35 | Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 11-01 19:35 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 11-01 19:35 | 1H Spread: Bills (-7.5) | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |