BullishBet
0x1bc01990660b3cca2c86d128ff5af2a868a76bb7
- Realised P&L
- $-345.09
- Volume
- $145.3k
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $608.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.07at 0.265Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$105.58at 0.923Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
- +$98.48at 0.017Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$97.49at 0.757Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
- +$96.15at 0.038Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 15:55 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $298.20 |
| 09-09 02:09 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.911 | $91.10 |
| 08-29 04:50 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 08-29 04:14 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $35.21 |
| 08-29 04:10 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 08-18 03:58 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 08-17 15:30 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.8714975124 | $175.17 |
| 08-16 06:25 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $7.31 |
| 08-15 07:42 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $283.80 |
| 08-14 12:47 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.91835 | $183.67 |
| 08-14 12:46 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $292.80 |
| 08-14 12:44 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $326.04 |
| 08-12 15:00 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 08-11 15:20 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $266.20 |
| 08-05 14:48 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9837736583 | $343.89 |