lannnn
0x1bbe68c9832bf9655414ddb89b1fac432f89f8b0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $1.34M
- Markets traded
- 1,016
- Open portfolio
- $679.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,016
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$341.85at 0.028Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
- +$173.92at 0.927Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
- +$153.59at 0.306Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?
- +$128.37at 0.162Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$105.40at 0.888Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.16 |
| 09-16 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9380548926 | $47.17 |
| 09-16 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4 | $16.09 |
| 09-16 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4 | $15.26 |
| 09-16 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9514170457 | $221.70 |
| 09-16 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4738517137 | $20.32 |
| 09-16 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8173684211 | $77.65 |
| 09-16 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.83 |
| 09-16 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.06 |
| 09-16 03:59 | Bitcoin above 75,800 on September 16, 12AM ET? | BUY | 0.98 | $66.73 |
| 09-16 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.65 | $9.75 |
| 09-16 03:55 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-16 03:45 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 on September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-16 03:45 | Will XRP dip to $1.25 on September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-16 03:44 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $80.17 |