0x1bb8bb2d04fc00ffde4cd1201ca43563907b7064
0x1bb8bb2d04fc00ffde4cd1201ca43563907b7064
- Realised P&L
- $4.66
- Volume
- $248.06
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $3.10
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.825 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.330 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.665 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.89at 0.210Will Russia target Kyiv on August 22, 2026?
- +$3.66at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$3.48at 0.278Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.12at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$3.00at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:35 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:45 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 01:00 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:58 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:04 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 2? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 01:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 01:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:41 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:40 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:08 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:24 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 02:06 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:02 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7399998975 | $1.30 |