RubensGrepth
0x1bb250d3bb1c6e6f18bc85494d5b56adc7ec88ca
- Realised P&L
- $-678.86
- Volume
- $62.7k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $171.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain snap election called in 2026? · Yes | 0.256 | 0.195 | $171.92 | −$53.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.401Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$161.13at 0.500Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$154.06at 0.595Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$113.95at 0.925Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$102.98at 0.159Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 08:44 | Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0022261024 | $0.49 |
| 05-19 07:53 | Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0480133919 | $1.46 |
| 04-28 21:54 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.33 |
| 04-28 21:53 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $84.00 |
| 04-28 21:53 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SELL | 0.23 | $115.00 |
| 03-31 18:33 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.78 |
| 03-31 09:31 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999986 | $108.11 |
| 03-31 09:30 | Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $107.10 |
| 01-29 14:28 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.3680894748 | $246.61 |
| 01-26 21:23 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? | SELL | 0.015 | $2.21 |
| 01-26 15:53 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? | BUY | 0.0339999936 | $5.00 |
| 01-23 08:18 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? | BUY | 0.159 | $1.59 |
| 01-23 08:12 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $152.00 |
| 01-15 08:08 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January? | BUY | 0.4999408354 | $50.70 |
| 01-15 08:03 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.53 | $201.40 |