0x1ba747eaed3e0e798922523dbed29693bcf767a1
- Realised P&L
- $-8.4k
- Volume
- $341.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,247
- Open portfolio
- $413.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,247
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants · Detroit Tigers | 0.530 | 0.515 | $215.53 | −$6.28 |
| Taj Bradley: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.600 | 0.500 | $80.50 | −$16.10 |
| Taj Bradley: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.500 | $46.50 | +$4.65 |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova · Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0.310 | 0.455 | $35.54 | +$11.33 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.570 | 0.545 | $19.13 | −$0.88 |
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima · Arthur Rinderknech | 0.160 | 0.001 | $0.18 | −$56.96 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$241.56 |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) · Lakers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$107.91 |
| Nottingham 2: Tristan Boyer vs Jay Clarke · Tristan Boyer | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.50 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox · Seattle Mariners | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.78 |
| National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina · Daria Kasatkina | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.14 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$205.61 |
| New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox · New York Yankees | 0.456 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.05 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$198.00 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul · Tommy Paul | 0.627 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$260.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$529.20at 0.428Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic
- +$506.60at 0.456Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe
- +$501.00at 0.165Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$399.99at 0.507Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli
- +$394.41at 0.570Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 23:30 | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | BUY | 0.31 | $24.22 |
| 08-08 20:27 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BUY | 0.16 | $57.14 |
| 08-08 18:20 | Taj Bradley: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.4499999904 | $7.06 |
| 08-08 18:20 | Taj Bradley: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $34.79 |
| 08-08 16:26 | Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.529999999 | $221.81 |
| 08-08 16:25 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.6 | $295.08 |
| 08-08 02:01 | National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul | BUY | 0.42 | $24.41 |
| 08-08 01:53 | National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 08-08 01:52 | National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul | BUY | 0.48 | $48.98 |
| 08-07 20:30 | New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.4499999995 | $195.65 |
| 08-07 17:33 | National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi | BUY | 0.4289051894 | $19.59 |
| 08-07 16:54 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BUY | 0.56 | $124.77 |
| 08-07 15:20 | National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneeva | BUY | 0.45 | $97.83 |
| 08-07 02:58 | National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca | BUY | 0.45 | $97.83 |
| 08-07 01:26 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BUY | 0.53 | $24.53 |